Why the Future Can't Be Predicted

By Josh Rutledge

No one can predict the future because the future is not a single line waiting to arrive. It is many possible lines, each with a probability, and every decision made by every living experiencer keeps changing those probabilities until one of them comes to be.

What the animation shows

The Width of Now is an animated map of time, read left to right: past, now, future.

  • The now (amber) is the exact present moment plus a pocket of the past that living people still remember. Each person carries their own pocket, and together they make the collective now, held by roughly 8 billion people. When the last person who remembers an event dies, that event leaves the now and becomes the past.
  • The future (blue) fans out into many possible lines, each with a probability. The numbers shift constantly as decisions are made, until one line becomes reality and becomes everyone’s now.
  • The past (sepia) is single and fixed, but once no one alive remembers it, we can reach it only through accounts, records, and stories. Each is shaped by the worldview of whoever kept it, so the accounts drift apart from each other and from what really happened.

Why the future can’t be predicted

A prediction is a snapshot of the probabilities at one moment. The future can’t be predicted because those probabilities never hold still. Five things keep them moving.

  1. Every decision shifts the odds. Each choice, large or small, raises some future lines and lowers others. The line that looks most likely today can lose ground tomorrow.
  2. Billions of people are deciding at once. Your future is shaped by your own choices and by the choices of roughly 8 billion other experiencers, most of whom you will never meet. No one can see or count all of those decisions.
  3. The future that arrives is shared. The line that emerges is the same line for everyone. You can’t predict your own future without also predicting everyone else’s.
  4. Possibilities multiply with distance. Each possible future branches into more possibilities. The further ahead you look, the more lines there are and the smaller each one’s chance becomes.
  5. Predicting is itself a decision. Once you expect a future, you act differently because of it. That action shifts the probabilities, sometimes toward the prediction and sometimes away from it. Manifestation is a form of prediction.

In the animation, the line that leads at the start of each stretch is marked predicted. Watch for a few minutes, and you’ll see it lose often: as decisions arrive, another line gains, and that line becomes reality.

What this means for you

Being unable to predict the future is not the same as being powerless before it. You can see which lines are likely right now, and your decisions are among the forces that move them. A reading of the future is best understood as a reading of current probabilities: useful for seeing where things are heading, and open to change by what you choose next.

Explore it yourself in the interactive animation below. Click any future line to make your own decision, and watch the probabilities respond.

Interactive: The Width of NOW — An animated chart spanning past ← now → future. Living experiencers: 8.1 billion. Collective now: ~89 yrs. Your now: ~32 yrs. Year starts at 1200. Click any future line to make your decision; collective decisions keep arriving on their own from everyone alive. Make a decision: “Attempt a trip to the past.” Years and events are illustrative; each run plays out differently because the decisions are random.

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